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Belarus

With a cumulative score of 1.18, Belarus ranks number 83 among emerging markets and number 112 in the global ranking.

  • Emerging markets
  • Europe

1.28 / 5

Power score


0.79 / 5

Transport score


1.28 / 5

Buildings score



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Low-carbon strategy

Net-zero goal and strategy

Belarus has neither a net-zero emissions goal nor a long-term decarbonization strategy.

Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC)

Belarus submitted an updated Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) – its plan to help achieve the goals of the 2015 Paris Agreement – to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in October 2021. It includes a new target to reduce absolute greenhouse gas emissions by 35% by 2030 compared with 1990 levels. With international financial and technological support, Belarus says it could lower its emissions further, with a target of 40% by 2030. The sectors being targeted for mitigation include industry, agriculture, waste, energy, and land use and forestry.

Fossil fuel phase-out policy

Belarus does not have a fossil fuel phase-out policy.

Power

Power policy

Belarus in its Energy Saving Program 2016-2020 had set out a modest target for 6% of installed power generation capacity to come from clean energy by 2020, and a Presidential Directive indicated a 7% target by 2025. Both targets were met by 2020. A new goal was subsequently set, aiming for renewables to reach 9% of power generation capacity by 2035; the country is also likely to meet the moderate target ahead of schedule.

Belarus uses an annual quota system to advance clean energy build, which sets different technology thresholds. In 2020, the quota was for 6 megawatts of biogas, 19.8 megawatts of wind, 7 megawatts of hydro, and 1.5 megawatts of wood fuel and other biomass. For 2021, the quotas are 10.47 megawatts for biogas, 35.5 megawatts for wind, 2.5 megawatts for solar photovoltaic (PV), and 0.9 megawatts for biomass. Annual quotas vary drastically over the years; for example, the total quotas for 2021 and 2022 are 49.37 megawatts and 144.5 megawatts, respectively. Discussions to develop an auction policy date back to 2015. Belarus has only held tenders, with no further progress on auctions.

Belarus offers value-added tax (VAT) exemptions to clean power projects that are considered official investment projects – meaning developers have signed an investment agreement with Belarus. The 2010 Renewable Energy Law allows for renewable energy equipment related to generation, transmission, consumption, storage and conversion to be exempt from customs duties.

Power policies

Renewable energy auction
Feed-in Tariff
Import tax incentives
Net Metering
Renewable energy target
VAT incentives

Power prices and costs

Power tariffs are subsidized and are some of the lowest for the region at around $86.98 per megawatt-hour in 2021. Tariffs rose between 2020 and 2021, with commercial, residential and industrial tariffs per megawatt-hour going from $78.16, $68.48 and $92.54 in 2020 to $90.52, $76.95 and $93.5 in 2021, respectively.

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Power market

Most electricity generation in Belarus comes from natural gas, accounting for 86% of power generation in 2021. Biomass, biogas, and small hydro have been installed piecemeal in the past decade but still made up less than 1% of installed capacity in 2020. Small- and utility-scale solar installations have been picking up since 2015, totaling around 51 megawatts by 2021. There are around 100 megawatts of onshore wind installed.

Belarus has secured a small amount of clean energy investment in the last five years. Small biomass and biofuel investments dominated in the late-2000s, while the most significant deals in the last decade were small hydro investments as well as a large solar deal in 2019. Wind investment has been slowly picking up since 2017.

All segments of the power sector are overseen by vertically integrated state utility BelEnergo. There are six vertically integrated undertakers that perform activities on generation, transmission, distribution, and supply. While the government has stated that it would unbundle the power sector by 2025, no progress has been made so far. There is no legal framework supporting the decarbonization of BelEnergo.

Rules have been relaxed for power generation so that independent power producers (IPPs) have been able to enter the market. However, they can only sell power to BelEnergo, as bilateral contracts are not possible.

Installed Capacity (in MW)

2012201420162018202002K4K6K8K10K MW

Electricity Generation (in GWh)

20122014201620182020010K20K30K40K GWh
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Utility privatisation

Which segments of the power sector are open to private participation?


Generation
Transmission
Retail

Wholesale power market

Does the country have a wholesale power market?


Available
Not available

Doing business and barriers

As a fully electrified country with a state-owned utility, investment opportunities in Belarus may be more limited than in other emerging markets. However, there is potential to reduce dependence on imported gas and install renewables. Should the country apply to become a contracting party of the Energy Community (of South East Europe) – which aims to create an integrated pan-European energy market – this could also bring rules on unbundling the power sector and open up new opportunities.

The state monopoly and weak enabling framework are barriers to clean energy project development. Subsidized power tariffs could pose a further impediment to market access for IPPs. Belarus’s border crisis and imposed sanctions have underscored the country and political risk, which are likely to be ongoing deterrents in the short- to mid-term. Meanwhile, the government’s priority for nuclear plant development could also impact clean energy investment.

Currency of PPAs

Are PPAs (eg. corporate PPAs and all other types) signed in or indexed to U.S. Dollars or Euro?


Available
Not available

Bilateral power contracts

Can a C&I (Commercial and Industrial) customer sign a long-term contract (PPA) for clean energy?


Available
Not available

Fossil fuel price distortions - Subsidies

Does the government influence the wholesale price of fossil fuel (used by thermal power plants) down through subsidies?


Available
Not available

Fossil fuel price distortions - Taxes

Does the government influence the wholesale price of fossil fuel (used by thermal power plants) up through taxes or carbon prices?


Available
Not available

Transport

EV market

The electric vehicle (EV) fleet in Belarus reached 10,000 vehicles in mid-2022, doubling 2021 numbers.

EV policy

Exemptions on VAT and customs duty on imported EVs are available. Owners of EVs are exempt from paying road tax and parking fees for public parking lots.

The country is aiming to increase the number of EV charging stations to 1,500 by the end of 2025. Charging stations are exempt from VAT and there is a grant available for increased investment tax deductions according to the Tax Code for Charging Stations.

The Belarus Comprehensive Development Plan for the Electricity Sector to 2025 and Beyond includes a target to reach 30,800 passenger EVs by 2025.

Transport policies

Electric vehicle target
Electric vehicle purchase grant or loan incentive
VAT incentives for EV
Import tax incentives for EV
EV charging infrastructure target
EV charging infrastructure support

Fuel economy standards

Does the country have a fuel economy standard in place?


Available
Not available

Buildings

Buildings market

Belarus’s heating sector is composed of mostly district heating (46%), oil (30%) and direct electricity (11%).

Energy efficiency policy

Does the country have a national energy efficiency plan?


Available
Not available

Energy efficiency policy

Are there minimum energy performance standards for buildings?


Available
Not available

Energy efficiency incentives

Is there access to loans or grants for energy efficiency measures (i.e. Wall or loft insulation or double glazing)?


Available
Not available

Buildings policy

The country has established requirements for energy efficiency in new buildings and buildings being renovated. For example, the standard heat-transfer resistance of building envelopes should not be lower than 3.2 watts per square meter per degree Celsius for outside walls and 1 watt per square meter per degree Celsius for windows and balcony doors.

Belarus offers loans for energy efficiency-related investments for multi-apartment buildings, renovations, or transitions.

Buildings policies

Low-carbon heat target/roadmap
Tax credits
Boiler scrappage schemes
Heat pumps purchase grants/loans incentive
Ban on boilers: new build homes
Ban on boilers: all homes

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