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Kazakhstan

With a cumulative score of 1.5, Kazakhstan ranks number 52 among emerging markets and number 81 in the global ranking.

  • Emerging markets
  • Asia-Pacific

1.88 / 5

Power score


1.01 / 5

Transport score


0.86 / 5

Buildings score



Compare

Low-carbon strategy

Net-zero goal and strategy

Kazakhstan does not have a net-zero goal or strategy.

Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC)

Kazakhstan’s Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) – meaning its official plan to meet the goals of the Paris Agreement – aims for a 15% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions from 1990 levels by the end of 2030. With additional international investment and greater access to low-carbon technologies, it says this goal could be increased to a 25% cut. The sectors being targeted for mitigation are energy, transport, industrial processes, agriculture, and waste.

Fossil fuel phase-out policy

Kazakhstan has a plan to phase out fossil fuels based on modernizing ageing infrastructure, but it does not specifically target fossil-fuel power plants.

Power

Power policy

Fossil fuels are heavily subsidized in Kazakhstan. The country generates its power primarily from coal, though there have been small increases in solar PV and small hydro capacity. Kazakhstan is aiming for up to 15% of electricity generation to come from renewables by 2030, rising to 50% by 2050. It met its target of 3% of generation of renewables by 2020, adding capacity primarily through auctions. Some 1,418 megawatts of renewables have been contracted since the first auctions in 2018. Consumers are also able to participate in Kazakhstan’s net metering policy with renewable installations of up to 100 kilowatts. Additionally, the country is able to issue RECs and aims to utilize them to increase renewable energy capacity starting in 2022.

Power policies

Renewable energy auction
Feed-in Tariff
Import tax incentives
Net Metering
Renewable energy target
VAT incentives

Power prices and costs

Kazakhstan does not have a time-based tariff, but residential tariffs are based on a progressive rating system. Kazakhstan currently does not subsidize power but has a price cap on kerosene and diesel to keep it affordable for farmers.

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Power market

The country has a quasi-monopolistic power market. All renewable generators must sell to the national grid, but retail customers may choose different distribution networks. Transmission is completely dominated by the state-owned operator, KazTransGas, while generation is carried out mainly by private enterprises.

Kazakhstan has a 100% electrification rate and rising peak power demand. Power infrastructure is very outdated, but there is no official plan to modernize plants.

Installed Capacity (in MW)

2012201420162018202005K10K15K20K MW

Electricity Generation (in GWh)

20122014201620182020020K40K60K80K100K120K GWh
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Utility privatisation

Which segments of the power sector are open to private participation?


Generation
Transmission
Retail

Wholesale power market

Does the country have a wholesale power market?


Available
Not available

Doing business and barriers

Kazakhstan’s support for renewables is largely focused on utility-scale projects. The lack of assistance for small-scale renewables coupled with low retail power prices hinder behind-the-meter solar deployment. Additionally, Kazakhstan is still viewed as a high-risk country for foreign investment due to high curtailment risk.

Currency of PPAs

Are PPAs (eg. corporate PPAs and all other types) signed in or indexed to U.S. Dollars or Euro?


Available
Not available

Bilateral power contracts

Can a C&I (Commercial and Industrial) customer sign a long-term contract (PPA) for clean energy?


Available
Not available

Fossil fuel price distortions - Subsidies

Does the government influence the wholesale price of fossil fuel (used by thermal power plants) down through subsidies?


Available
Not available

Fossil fuel price distortions - Taxes

Does the government influence the wholesale price of fossil fuel (used by thermal power plants) up through taxes or carbon prices?


Available
Not available

Transport

EV market

Kazakhstan has not implemented a specific clean transport target, though it is exploring green infrastructure for public transportation. Old vehicles are prevalent in the country, as many people find it difficult to afford a new car.

EV policy

There are policies in place to encourage consumers to switch to electric vehicles (EVs), such as zero import duty and exemption from transport tax. Gasoline is also taxed to incentivize more EV usage. With Kazakhstan now being able to produce EVs domestically, this could make them more popular.

Transport policies

Electric vehicle target
Electric vehicle purchase grant or loan incentive
VAT incentives for EV
Import tax incentives for EV
EV charging infrastructure target
EV charging infrastructure support

Fuel economy standards

Does the country have a fuel economy standard in place?


Available
Not available

Buildings

Buildings market

Kazakhstan’s low-carbon heating market is in its infancy.

Energy efficiency policy

Does the country have a national energy efficiency plan?


Available
Not available

Energy efficiency policy

Are there minimum energy performance standards for buildings?


Available
Not available

Energy efficiency incentives

Is there access to loans or grants for energy efficiency measures (i.e. Wall or loft insulation or double glazing)?


Available
Not available

Buildings policy

There are very few policies in place and they remain on the municipal level.

Buildings policies

Low-carbon heat target/roadmap
Tax credits
Boiler scrappage schemes
Heat pumps purchase grants/loans incentive
Ban on boilers: new build homes
Ban on boilers: all homes

Additional insights
from BNEF

Explore more detailed information on global commodity markets and the disruptive technologies driving the transition to a low-carbon economy.

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Energy Transition Factbooks

This marks the 11th anniversary of Climatescope, BNEF’s annual assessment of energy transition opportunities. The project has been expanded to include activity not just in clean power but in the decarbonization of the transportation and buildings sectors.

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Power Transition Factbook

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Electrified Heating Factbook

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