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Sweden

With a cumulative score of 2.43, Sweden ranks number 10 among developed markets and number 11 in the global ranking.

  • Developed markets
  • Europe

2.41 / 5

Power score


2.77 / 5

Transport score


2.16 / 5

Buildings score



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Low-carbon strategy

Net-zero goal and strategy

Sweden has a 2045 net-zero goal, with a 2040 sub-target for its power sector. The net-zero strategy is target- and market-driven. The central aim is to penalize carbon-emitting processes, thereby promoting market competition as a way to develop methods of emissions abatement. This relies upon market mechanisms set at the EU level, such as the EU Emissions Trading Scheme, or ETS.

Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC)

Sweden is part of the EU's joint Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC) to the Paris Agreement. The updated NDC, submitted to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change in 2021, pledges to reduce emissions by 55% before the end of 2030, compared to 1990 levels.

Fossil fuel phase-out policy

Sweden’s low-carbon strategy is primarily based on technology, neutral economic policies such as the EU carbon pricing and the 2040 net-zero target for the power sector. Sweden’s last coal power plant closed in 2020. Sweden’s coal phase-out was a result mainly of the EU carbon price decreasing profitability and strategic decisions in favor of reduced emissions at Swedish energy companies.

Power

Power policy

Sweden’s power policy is centered on decarbonization, aiming to achieve net zero in the power sector by 2040. Since 2020, the country has been coal-free in power generation. Policymakers avoid setting technology targets out of a preference for market mechanisms that allow the cheapest technologies to prevail. A key challenge for reducing emissions in Sweden are the large district heating facilities that currently burn a mixture of waste, biomass, and occasionally oil and gas. That said, Sweden’s power sector is one of the cleanest in the European Union.

Fossil fuel generators must pay for their emissions under the EU Emissions Trading Scheme, which covers all large combustion facilities in the EU.

Sweden’s scheme for tradable green certificates for renewable electricity came to an end in January 2022. The scheme no longer accepts new plants, but still supports existing beneficiaries until 2035. The annual required quota for renewable energy under the scheme will decline gradually until the 2035 end-date.

Sweden does not have a full net metering scheme to support rooftop PV, but solar PV generation fed to the grid must be compensated by a small fee paid by distribution grid operators called “the network benefit” (nätnytta). The network benefit materializes as a reduction in network fees on the power bill, covering about 10% of the typical network change per kilowatt-hour. In addition, PV owners can make contracts to sell surplus production to their utility company. Small systems of less than 500 kilowatts are freed from paying electricity tax on both these revenue streams. PV installations are also incentivized as the labor part of the solar system investment (the installation cost) is also subject to the ROT household tax deduction.

Power policies

Renewable energy auction
Feed-in Tariff
Import tax incentives
Net Metering
Renewable energy target
VAT incentives

Power prices and costs

Sweden has some of the lowest wholesale power prices in the EU, with average annual prices between €11-44 /MWh over 2015-2020 (SEK 115-450). In 2021, wholesale prices rose to around €60/MWh (SEK 640) in line with wider European trends. This is still clearly below the EU 2021 average of around €105/MWh.

Once taxes and surcharges are added to power prices, Swedish retail electricity prices rise, bringing the country to the middle of the EU pack. About one-third of Swedish electricity retail prices are accounted for by energy cost, with the remainder made up of taxes, such as VAT and an energy tax, as well as grid-use charges. All major utilities offer tariffs based on wholesale prices both for households and businesses, but only 5% of households have this type of time-of-use tariff.

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Power market

Sweden’s power system is fully liberalized and in line with EU standards. The country has a competitive power market, as well as an open retail market. Any licensed company is allowed to own generation assets or to sell electricity to consumers. Companies are also permitted to sign power purchase agreements directly with power producers or utilities.

The power system is dominated by hydro and nuclear capacity. Combined, these technologies account for around 70% of the country’s 2021 power generation. The country also has a large onshore wind fleet, reaching 11.5 gigawatts in 2021. Sweden’s electricity generation from burning fuels like waste also supplies the country’s district heating facilities. On very cold days, these combined heat and power plants usually supplement their fuel supply with oil to achieve a higher thermal output.

Installed Capacity (in MW)

20122014201620182020010K20K30K40K MW

Electricity Generation (in GWh)

20122014201620182020050K100K150K GWh
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Utility privatisation

Which segments of the power sector are open to private participation?


Generation
Transmission
Retail

Wholesale power market

Does the country have a wholesale power market?


Available
Not available

Doing business and barriers

Similar to many other EU countries, Sweden is struggling with the permitting process for renewables, particularly onshore wind. The country has tried to address the issue by creating designated areas of national interest for wind power.

Currency of PPAs

Are PPAs (eg. corporate PPAs and all other types) signed in or indexed to U.S. Dollars or Euro?


Available
Not available

Bilateral power contracts

Can a C&I (Commercial and Industrial) customer sign a long-term contract (PPA) for clean energy?


Available
Not available

Fossil fuel price distortions - Subsidies

Does the government influence the wholesale price of fossil fuel (used by thermal power plants) down through subsidies?


Available
Not available

Fossil fuel price distortions - Taxes

Does the government influence the wholesale price of fossil fuel (used by thermal power plants) up through taxes or carbon prices?


Available
Not available

Transport

EV market

Battery-electric vehicles and plug-in hybrid electric passenger vehicles made up 7% of Sweden’s total passenger vehicle fleet in 2021. Sales of these cars accounted for as much as 46% of the total, up from 31% the year before.

Some incentives promote the ownership of low-emission vehicles, such as an income tax reduction for company cars that meet the criteria, as well as a refund of up to 60,000 Swedish krone ($7,000) for zero-emission vehicles and up to 10,000 Swedish krone for vehicles with emissions below 60 grams of CO2 per kilometer. Under its “bonus-malus” scheme, Sweden also penalizes the purchase of high-emission vehicles, by way of a tax on the first three years of ownership.

EV policy

Sweden’s decarbonization philosophy is centered around achieving CO2 targets, rather than favoring specific technologies. Consequently, there is no policy explicitly in favor of electric vehicles. Instead, the country’s 70% emissions reduction target in transport by 2030, combined with a series of other mechanisms, work in favor of decarbonizing the vehicle fleet in the cheapest way possible. Incentives are open to all vehicles that meet the low- or zero-emission criteria, which in some cases includes cars that run on biofuels. The only outright support for EVs that Sweden has in place is a scheme to support charging infrastructure, which ended in 2020. Under that program, installers of residential chargers could get a rebate of 50%, or 10,000 Swedish krone (whichever was lower), toward the cost of the charger.

Despite the technology-neutral approach, Sweden had the third highest share of electric vehicle registrations in Europe in 2021 (after Norway and Iceland).

Transport policies

Electric vehicle target
Electric vehicle purchase grant or loan incentive
VAT incentives for EV
Import tax incentives for EV
EV charging infrastructure target
EV charging infrastructure support

Fuel economy standards

Does the country have a fuel economy standard in place?


Available
Not available

Buildings

Buildings market

More than half of buildings are centrally heated in Sweden. Waste- and biomass-fired combined heat and power plants are the primary supply to district heating and industrial heating networks. The second-largest technology for heating is direct electric heating, which makes up around one-third of the total. Finally, about 12% of heating in the country is through air-source and ground-source heat pumps. Some 67% of final energy consumption in the heating and cooling sector came from renewable energy in 2020.

Energy efficiency policy

Does the country have a national energy efficiency plan?


Available
Not available

Energy efficiency policy

Are there minimum energy performance standards for buildings?


Available
Not available

Energy efficiency incentives

Is there access to loans or grants for energy efficiency measures (i.e. Wall or loft insulation or double glazing)?


Available
Not available

Buildings policy

Sweden aims to achieve net-zero heating by 2044. By 2030, the target is for renewables to account for a 69% share of the heating sector, with that proportion rising to 71% in 2040. The country’s largest heating source, district heating, is covered by the EU ETS. Sweden has also set limits on the energy use, average thermal transmittance and a building envelope’s average air leakages for new and refurbishing buildings. The specific energy use is capped at 80-90 kilowatt-hours per square meter, depending on the size and location of the building.

There are some financial incentives for energy efficiency improvement of buildings. The ROT tax deduction scheme applies to the labor part of energy efficiency improvements. In November 2022, corporations, associations and the public sector organizations can also apply for innovation support from the Swedish Energy Authority for implementing energy efficiency measures. The scheme has a budget of €1 million (SEK 10 million), with a maximum grant of up to €47,000 (SEK 500,000) per applicant. Only solutions which can reduce energy use within 12 months are eligible for support.

Buildings policies

Low-carbon heat target/roadmap
Tax credits
Boiler scrappage schemes
Heat pumps purchase grants/loans incentive
Ban on boilers: new build homes
Ban on boilers: all homes

Additional insights
from BNEF

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This marks the 11th anniversary of Climatescope, BNEF’s annual assessment of energy transition opportunities. The project has been expanded to include activity not just in clean power but in the decarbonization of the transportation and buildings sectors.

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