Senegal
With a cumulative score of 1.66, Senegal ranks number 33 among emerging markets and number 61 in the global ranking.
- Emerging markets
- Middle East & Africa
1.98 / 5
Power score
0.90 / 5
Transport score
Buildings score
Only 56 markets (28 emerging markets) are scored on the Buildings sector. See the full list on the methodology page.
Low-carbon strategy
Net-zero goal and strategy
Senegal has set neither a net-zero emissions goal nor a long-term carbon strategy.
Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC)
Senegal's Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) – its plan to achieve the goals set out in the Paris Agreement – covers all sectors with an unconditional 5% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions in 2025, and a 7% cut in 2030. It also refers to a conditional on international investment target of a 23.7% reduction in GHG emissions in 2025, and 29.5% in 2030.
Fossil fuel phase-out policy
There is no fossil fuel phase-out policy in Senegal.
Power
Power policy
Senegal has set a target of 15% share of renewable energy installations by 2025, which has already been met as renewable energy comprises 34% of installed capacity. Clean energy auctions have been held, the most recent being the World Bank-backed ‘Scaling Solar’ tender. The auction saw 60 megawatts of PV awarded at a compelling price of $0.038 per kilowatt-hour. Yet, no further auctions are planned, a possible result of major gas discoveries made off Senegal's coast in 2016.
In August 2020, the government issued a decree that exempts 22 renewable-energy equipment types from value-added tax. The technologies eligible for this incentive are wind, biogas, solar PV and other solar-powered technologies, such as solar pumping kits and solar water heaters. A new program will introduce a payment for all excess energy generated over 20 years for residential biogas and solar.
The country has implemented a policy to encourage the development of natural gas generation assets. Renewable energy projects will not be built if they comprise more than 30% of total capacity, meaning that renewable energy developers must await the arrival of new fossil fuel capacity on the grid before proceeding with projects.
Power policies
Power prices and costs
Recent years have seen an influx of renewables investment in Senegal, and the Scaling Solar auctions will make a further contribution to helping the sector develop. Prices discovered in the auctions are indicative of the sector’s growing maturity, even factoring in the power-price depression due to the de-risking measures applied to projects. The Taiba N’Diaye wind farm, commissioned in 2020, was financed by $378 million of US and Danish concessional funding. The sector will likely continue to rely on such development finance in the near term.
Power prices in Senegal have risen in recent years due to a combination of higher global commodity prices and Covid-19. In the coming years, new renewables projects and domestic gas discoveries should drive down production costs, which are higher than elsewhere in the region due to a reliance on costly diesel generation.
Power market
Only power generation has been liberalized in Senegal, with transmission and distribution remaining vertically integrated. Independent power producers, such as APR and Aggreko, operate a larger fleet than that of state-owned utility Senelec. The 1.2-gigawatt power mix is dominated by oil and diesel, with solar PV, large hydro, natural gas and coal filling in the remainder. Additional power is imported from two dams in Mali. A renewables transition had begun, with 169.5 megawatts of solar installed in 2019 and a 158-megawatt wind farm commissioned in 2020. However, government support for future additions is likely to be affected by the discovery of major gas reserves off Senegal’s coast, with extraction set to begin in 2023. A pivot back towards thermal energy is underway, as the government plans to modify oil plants to use natural gas and to build several combined-cycle gas turbines.
Installed Capacity (in MW)
Electricity Generation (in GWh)
Utility privatisation
Which segments of the power sector are open to private participation?
Wholesale power market
Does the country have a wholesale power market?
Doing business and barriers
Senegal’s electrification scheme has fallen short of expectations, since being initially hailed as revolutionary when it was launched in 2008. The private concessionary framework assigned 10 rural districts to operators, setting out yearly electrification targets in the process. Operators have fallen behind on their goals while charging prohibitive fees. With national electrification at 70%, the 2025 universal-access target seems ambitious. More generally, Senegal is a dynamic market – demand is growing fast, and the economy is buoyed by a young, skilled workforce.
As is common in the region, market-friendly policies are implemented at a slow rate. Off-grid developers have bemoaned the fact that import-duty waivers do not apply to their products, pushing up project costs. However, developers have praised the fact that, despite lengthy bureaucratic processes, the authorities have been efficient when it comes to permitting projects. Senelec is said to pay IPPs in a timely manner and the utility is in better financial health than its regional peers, having restructured its finances while introducing a successful prepayment scheme.
Currency of PPAs
Are PPAs (eg. corporate PPAs and all other types) signed in or indexed to U.S. Dollars or Euro?
Bilateral power contracts
Can a C&I (Commercial and Industrial) customer sign a long-term contract (PPA) for clean energy?
Fossil fuel price distortions - Subsidies
Does the government influence the wholesale price of fossil fuel (used by thermal power plants) down through subsidies?
Fossil fuel price distortions - Taxes
Does the government influence the wholesale price of fossil fuel (used by thermal power plants) up through taxes or carbon prices?
Transport
EV market
The government has yet to implement any substantive policy support in this sector and the EV market remains at an early stage.
EV policy
The government has yet to implement any substantive policy support in this sector.
Transport policies
Fuel economy standards
Does the country have a fuel economy standard in place?
Buildings
Buildings market
The government has yet to implement any substantive policy support in this sector and the low-carbon heat market remains at an early stage.
Energy efficiency policy
Does the country have a national energy efficiency plan?
Energy efficiency policy
Are there minimum energy performance standards for buildings?
Energy efficiency incentives
Is there access to loans or grants for energy efficiency measures (i.e. Wall or loft insulation or double glazing)?
Buildings policy
The government has yet to implement any substantive policy support in this sector.
Buildings policies
Additional insights
from BNEF
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