Sudan
With a cumulative score of 0.95, Sudan ranks number 92 among emerging markets and number 121 in the global ranking.
- Emerging markets
- Middle East & Africa
1.00 / 5
Power score
0.85 / 5
Transport score
Buildings score
Only 56 markets (28 emerging markets) are scored on the Buildings sector. See the full list on the methodology page.
Low-carbon strategy
Net-zero goal and strategy
Sudan has neither a net-zero emissions goal nor a long-term decarbonization strategy.
Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC)
Sudan is designated a ‘least developed country’ by the United Nations General Assembly and is therefore not obliged to set an emissions reduction target. However, the country is carrying out a planning process to cut its greenhouse gas emissions and pursue low-carbon development. For example, it is aiming for renewable energy to constitute 20% of the power system by 2030.
Sudan submitted an updated Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) – its plan to help achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement – to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in May 2021. Unlike its original NDC, Sudan’s new NDC sets out its baseline emissions in a business-as-usual (BAU) scenario and aims to avoid the production of 84 million metric tons of CO2 equivalent (MtCO2e) between 2021 and 2030 versus the BAU scenario. The sectors being targeted for mitigation include energy, forestry, and waste, at an estimated cost of $4.4 billion.
Fossil fuel phase-out policy
Sudan does not have a fossil fuel phase-out policy.
Power
Power policy
Sudan’s geography is well-suited to renewables, with high solar irradiation and strong winds, and this could help curb the country’s reliance on costly imported fossil fuels. However, aside from plans to integrate 20% renewables into its power system by 2030, the government has not explicitly issued any further national objectives. With no utility-scale renewables commissioned to date, Sudan has a long way to go in its deployment of clean energy.
The two major pieces of legislation for Sudan’s energy sector – the Electricity Act of 2001 and National Investment Encouragement (NIE) Act of 2013 – allow tendering for energy projects. Specific legislation for the renewable energy sector is in the works in preparation for a renewables master plan. A feed-in tariff is under development with the support of the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP).
The country does not offer any clean energy incentives. A public-private partnership (PPP) law and import-duty exemptions for solar components were planned, but they are stuck at various stages along the legislative pipeline.
Power policies
Power prices and costs
Sudanese consumers benefit from generous electricity subsidies, which Sudan raised in January 2022 as the country pushed forward reforms. The government maintained higher subsidy rates for lower consumption tiers in order to not burden lower-income households.
A reduced “social tariff” benefits those who consume less than 200 kilowatt-hours per month, and this is a higher threshold than elsewhere in the region. These tariffs fall far short of meeting utilities’ production costs, leaving companies financially dependent on the government.
Following the breakaway of South Sudan in 2011, Sudan lost most of its oil assets, forcing it to import fuel for thermal power generation. Sudan’s runaway inflation and currency devaluation has compounded the challenge, making fossil fuel imports increasingly expensive. However, domestic fuel prices in Sudan have been among the lowest in the world due to heavy subsidies that offered retail prices far below the cost of production. Sudan canceled these fuel subsidies as of June 2021 in the hope of relieving its foreign debt by implementing market-oriented reforms supported by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
Power market
Sudan is predominantly dependent on oil- and hydro-based power generation, with hydropower accounting for more than half of installed capacity. The country has not added any generating capacity since 2018.
The structure of Sudan’s power sector has evolved in recent years. After the sector unbundled at the turn of the millennium, the Sudanese Electricity Holding Co. was created in 2016. It has an effective monopoly on procurement, with the holding company overseeing two generation utilities – the Sudanese Thermal Power Generating Company and its hydro-focused counterpart – as well as two firms that cover distribution and transmission. These companies remain state-owned, despite the 2001 Electricity Law opening up private participation in the energy sector.
While overseen by the state-owned Sudanese Transmission Company, the extension of the transmission grid lies with regional authorities, leading to a lack of coordination on a national level. According to the World Bank, the last extension plan was dated from 2012. Due to its strong electricity deficit, Sudan is considering investing on interconnections with neighboring countries. One example is the Egypt-Sudan corridor that aims to reach 1 gigawatt of power grid capacity and start operating by the end of 2022.
There are no real independent power producers in Sudan. There is one company that owns and operates thermal plants in a handful of regional capitals, but its fuel is supplied by the Sudanese Electricity Holding Co. free of charge.
Sudan in May 2021 passed a Public-Private Partnership Act, aimed at increasing private participation in developing the country’s infrastructure, including the electricity sector. There are a few “semi-PPAs” in place in regional capitals, where Turkish companies own and operate diesel plants. However, as the fuel for those plants is provided by the Sudanese Thermal Company, they can be viewed as a form of leasing agreement rather than a true PPA. A single PPA with an unspecified United Arab Emirates solar company was reported to be under discussion.
Installed Capacity (in MW)
Electricity Generation (in GWh)
Utility privatisation
Which segments of the power sector are open to private participation?
Wholesale power market
Does the country have a wholesale power market?
Doing business and barriers
Power demand in Sudan has increased by an average of 9% a year since 2015, but 46% of the population still lacks access to electricity. Sudan’s government is aiming for universal electrification by 2031. It says that at least 80% of energy-access initiatives will be through grid connections, connecting about 250,000 households per year. In areas where grid connection is not possible, 2.5 million standalone solar home systems (SHSs) will be provided by 2023. The electricity sector is subsidized, but Sudan raised electricity prices in January 2022 as part of reforms.
Electrification responsibilities largely lie with individual states, and while there is some support from the national and utility levels, regions must cover the costs involved. The dire financial situation across the country does not bode well for rapid electrification. The devolution of grid extensions to regional authorities also leads to a lack of coordination at the national level and impedes long-term planning. Sudan’s grid is currently unable to keep up with demand. The country’s poor road infrastructure aggravates the situation, due to more chances of delays in project implementation and subsequent maintenance.
Energy developers entering the Sudanese market face a number of obstacles – primarily the unstable macroeconomic and security situation, aggravated by the country’s political situation. Sudan is under military rule, with negotiations for a democratic transition underway, but it is uncertain when or whether this transition will take place. In addition to high capital expenditure costs due to the country’s instability, the lack of market transparency, very low power tariffs and weak purchasing power pose further challenges to project development.
Developers also face many difficulties securing finance in Sudan. No domestic banks offer loans to developers investing in clean power, and years of international isolation, coupled with crippling debts and a dire security situation, have left international financial institutions reluctant to bankroll renewable energy projects in the country. Trouble attracting donors has translated into a lack of utility-scale renewables build.
No payment delays were found under the main PPAs, but there is a risk due to the domestic inflation and exchange rates. Most power sector transactions and PPAs are denominated in hard currencies such as US dollars and euros but Sudan's electricity revenue is set in the Sudanese pound. This maintains a possibility that the sector would not be able to make timely payments due to domestic inflation and currency depreciation.
Currency of PPAs
Are PPAs (eg. corporate PPAs and all other types) signed in or indexed to U.S. Dollars or Euro?
Bilateral power contracts
Can a C&I (Commercial and Industrial) customer sign a long-term contract (PPA) for clean energy?
Fossil fuel price distortions - Subsidies
Does the government influence the wholesale price of fossil fuel (used by thermal power plants) down through subsidies?
Fossil fuel price distortions - Taxes
Does the government influence the wholesale price of fossil fuel (used by thermal power plants) up through taxes or carbon prices?
Transport
EV market
As of June 2021, Sudan canceled its heavy subsidies of gasoline and diesel. Three-wheeler vehicles, such as passenger tuk-tuk rickshaws, are popular in the country, but drivers have had to contend with rising oil prices. Electric three-wheelers could potentially be a good alternative to conventional fossil fuel-powered vehicles and lead to an electric revolution for transport, as seen in other developing economies such as Nepal.
EV policy
The government has yet to implement any substantive policy support in this sector.
Transport policies
Fuel economy standards
Does the country have a fuel economy standard in place?
Buildings
Buildings market
The government has yet to implement any substantive policy support in this sector and the low-carbon heat market remains at an early stage.
Energy efficiency policy
Does the country have a national energy efficiency plan?
Energy efficiency policy
Are there minimum energy performance standards for buildings?
Energy efficiency incentives
Is there access to loans or grants for energy efficiency measures (i.e. Wall or loft insulation or double glazing)?
Buildings policy
There are no specific laws.
Buildings policies
Additional insights
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